VIP MATCHES 03/03/2017

After suffering consecutive defeats for the first time ever under coach Manuel Baum (a 2-0 defeat away to Mainz and a 3-1 defeat at home to Leverkusen), Augsburg bounced back with an expected win on the road to bottom of the table Darmstadt 98. Those 3 points see them standing comfortably above the relegation zone, but the Bavarians still have some work to do to reach their targeted top 10 finish.

Meanwhile, RB Leipzig are another side starting to rebuild some momentum after a drop in form. Leipzig were humbled in their 1-0 and 3-0 defeats away to Dortmund and at home to relegation fighting Hamburger SV at the start of February. However, these deflating results didn’t keep Ralph Hasenhüttl’s youngsters down for long, as Leipzig head into this off the back of consecutive wins against European contenders, Borussia M’gladbach and Cologne – wins which have kept them just 5 points behind Bayern Munich at the top of the table.

RB Leipzig are the favourites here at 10/11, which is no surprise given their formidable record on the road (W6 D2 L3) – the second best in the Bundesliga. However, though we feel the visitors stand a decent chance, there’s better value to be had backing “Over 2.5 Goals” at 11/10 with bet365 here for the following reasons:

Firstly, both RB Leipzig and Augsburg are in decent scoring form – Leipzig have averaged 1.7 goals per match so far in 2017 and Augbsurg have scored two or more in three of their last five Bundesliga matches – but neither side has kept a clean for a few weeks now. Hence, there’s plenty of potential for goals at both ends.

For Leipzig, forward Timo Werner will be the main threat. He’s the 4th top scorer in the Bundesliga, with 13 goals over his 21 appearances so far this season, and is in top current form with one goal in four of his last five outings. He’d be the best shout for an anytime scorer bet here at 5/4 with bet365. Augsburg, meanwhile, have been boosted by the return of forward Raul Bobadilla since his return from injury (2 goals in 5 appearances). Notably, Augsburg’s newfound scoring form is best shown by comparing their eight goal total so far in 2017 (8 goals in 6 matches) with that of the first half of the season (13 goals in 16 matches).

Most importantly, Leipzig’s matches very rarely tend to be dull affairs. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Leipzig’s last 7 matches (86%), while Augsburg follow suit with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 (80%).

Regarding a correct score bet, Leipzig’s offense, momentum and overall form are all much better than the hosts – Augsburg have been shown to struggle against top 6 sides. Given all of the former, we feel the visitors should be able to push above Augsburg’s average 1.6 goals conceded per match, but likely fail to keep a clean sheet themselves. As such, a 3-1 Leipzig win offers some decent value here at 16/1.

GERMANY: Bundesliga

20:30 FC Augsburg - RB Leipzig

PICK: Over 2,5 goals

STAKE: VIP SINGLE 9/10

ODD: 2.20

RESULT: 2 - 2 WIN
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Eindhoven FC vs Telstar

Telstar a rule to score, and today plays against Eindhoven, who needs points for the play-offs. So we expect a home win in this match, but I also expect that telstar goal. We even thought here to try and pass course still the Telstar.

Eindhoven used to be a high scoring team and their matches had many goals but as of late they did not have uch luck upfront and they are now recording two straight games with less than 2 goals, which is too much to swallow, not only because they approach their games attacking minded, but becuase they will not miss so many chances for ever. Today they play against a team with very poor defense but that has the ability to cause them trouble and score as well, so i think both teams will score and Eindhoven FC Win !

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie

20:00 Eindhoven FC - Telstar

PICK: 1 & both teams score

STAKE: VIP SINGLE 8/10

ODD: 2,85

RESULT: 4 - 2 WIN
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