Free Football Picks 11.03.2017

Sevilla vs Leganes

Sevilla have been in a great spell of form since early February and they will host Leganes on Saturday on the back of a 1-1 draw at Alaves, which has only ended their five-match winning streak. Although it’s questionable how much confidence they will take from their last outing, they’ve been unbeatable at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan since November and we’ll now back them to continue the streak at 4/11 with bet365.

Sevillistas have largely improved their back-line consistency and conceded just two goals in their last five home outings, basing their successful campaign on great results there. Their win over Athletic Bilbao (1-0) last week has been their seventh clean sheet at home, and backing them to keep another on the day will surely attract a few value seekers at 5/6 with Ladbrokes.

Leganes have indeed struggled to earn points and bag goals on the road, with just two draws (1-1 at Las Palmas and 2-2 at Deportivo La Coruna) earned in last 11 trips from home since early October. They’ve added just two more goals to the tally in nine losses suffered along the way, and we don’t see them making an impact at in-form Sevilla.

However, the home side haven’t been scoring many goals either (eight in last five games across competitions) and Under 2.5 goals FT also looks a very solid bet to get behind at 17/20 with William Hill. Indeed, just two of Sevilla’s last five home games ended with three or more goals and this could prove to be a narrower contest than expected.

Sevilla vs. Leganes Stats
The sides have met just once since Leganes returned to the Spanish top flight after 15 years, and Sevilla earned the points in a thrilling clash (2-3) with an 85’ winner from Pablo Sarabia. However, with their current spells of form it does seem we’re in for a different clash at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan altogether.


SPAIN: LaLiga

16:15 Sevilla - Leganes

Pick: 1  

ODD: 1,57
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Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt travel on a tough away day at Bayern Munich in a very poor form and look just an easy target for the in-form Bavarians at this point. While many have rated Bayern to win as buying money for old rope (coming at 1/8 with William Hill), we’ll now try finding better value in some other markets on the day.

With visitors finally bagging some goals (two in their last two games), they’ve earned a narrow DFB Pokal win over Bundesliga II strugglers Arminia Bielefeld but went on to suffer losses to Freiburg (1-2) and Oberliga’s Hessen Dreieich (2-1) in a Tuesday’s friendly. However, we don’t see them finding the net at the league’s best defending side on the day, as this looks like a very one-sided clash in the making.

Bayern have bagged a lot of first-half goals recently (seven in last four outings), securing the wins early on and, although they went into their Arsenal clash somewhat easier as they’ve already set one foot in the door with a great home win, we believe they’ll want to do the same here. Bayern to win HT/FT thus looks a very solid bet to get behind and we’ll now go for it at 4/9 with bet365.

The Bavarians haven’t had an easy schedule behind them but bagged an amazing total of 19 goals in last four games, and certainly look fierce at the moment. With their great form in the final third, led by in-form Robert Lewandowski, Over 2.5 goals FT comes as a banker bet as well and we’ll back it at 2/5 with BetVictor.

Bayern Munich vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Stats
Die Adler have had some success against Bayern in front of the home fans recently (two consecutive draws – including a 2-2 thriller in their most recent matchup in October), but they haven’t earned any points at Allianz Arena since 2007 (0-0 draw). Their current spell of form doesn’t look promising either, and we do feel Bayern will show dominance on the day.


GERMANY: Bundesliga

15:30 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt

Pick: AH - 1,5 Bayern Munich  ODD: 1,55  

Pick: Over 3.5 goals   ODD: 2,30  

Pick: Bayern to win HT/FT

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AS Monaco vs  Bordeaux
Bordeaux travel to Monaco for their Matchday 29 clash hoping to build on their four-match unbeaten streak and snatch any points on a tough away day at Stade Louis II. Although they’ve been in fine form and come into the match holding Lyon to a 1-1 draw in front of the home fans last week, we don’t see them doing the same here.

Monaco have been in red-hot form and returned to it connecting a three-match winning streak after a disappointing 5-3 loss at Manchester City, and we’ll now back them to continue the amazing home streak at 4/9 with bet365. Leonardo Jardim’s men come into the match taking confidence from their thrashing 4-0 win over Nantes last week, and we now hope for a similar attacking intent despite missing their top goalscorer Radamel Falcao for a groin injury.

Les Monegasques have indeed shown they can bag a lot of goals (eight in two games, to be exact) with their top finisher, and Les Girondins could be in for a similar treatment. Bordeaux will be more of a challenge, that’s for sure, having improved in the final third and securing six wins and two draws in their last nine matches – losing only to PSG (0-3) in the process.

However, conceding a lot of goals recently (four in last three outings) has to be worrying as they travel to league’s best goalscoring squad who bagged a total of 82 goals in 28 Ligue 1 matches this term. Meanwhile, this shapes to be a great game of football in the making and a high-scoring contest where we’ll go for Over 3.5 goals FT, backing it at 6/4 with Ladbrokes.

AS Monaco vs. Bordeaux Stats
Interestingly, the sides have met four times over the past two years and Bordeaux earned three wins in the process. Monaco have been able to outclass them in their most recent head-to-head encounter, though, beating them 4-0 at Stade Matmut-Atlantique in December. All four games ended with three or more goals, while two of those occasions ended with four goals netted.


FRANCE: Ligue 1

16:45 Monaco - Bordeaux

Pick: 1  ODD: 1,67  

Pick: Over 2.5 goals   ODD: 1,62   

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