Free Football Picks 15.03.2017

Atletico Madrid vs Bayer Leverkusen betting tips

Atletico Madrid look sure to progress to the Champions League quarter-finals barring a shock turnaround from a Bayer Leverkusen side who have changed their manager since the first leg.

Roger Schmidt paid the price for a run of five defeats in seven matches, the latest of which was 6-2 away to Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga to leave Leverkusen in the bottom half of the table and facing an uphill battle to secure European football for next season.

The 2002 Champions League runners-up look highly unlikely to be contesting the elite competition again next term unless Schmidt’s interim replacement, Tayfun Korkut, can inspire a huge improvement over the last couple of months of the campaign.

He needs to sort out the defence first and not only because of the debacle in Dortmund because Bayer also conceded four goals at home to Atletico, who claimed a very handy advantage thanks to contributions from Saul Niguez, Antoine Griezmann, Fernando Torres and a Kevin Gameiro penalty.


Atletico Madrid's Antoine Griezmann (left) scores his side's second goal during the UEFA Champions League round-of-16 first-leg match against Bayer Leverkusen on February 21 2017 (Getty Images)
Karim Bellarabi and a Stefan Savic own goal kept Bayer in with some sort of a chance of pulling off an unlikely Barcelona-esque comeback in the Spanish capital.

But it would be unwise to think Atletico will throw away their chance of continuing their excellent Champions League record as they target a third appearance in the final within four years, especially with this being the only chance of silverware they still have this term.

Victory in Cardiff would be fitting considering how close Atletico went against their city rivals Real Madrid in 2014 and 2016, as well as this being their last season in the Vicente Calderon Stadium and coach Diego Simeone and star man Griezmann potentially moving on in the foreseeable future.

They may not be quite the same force in La Liga this time around, but Los Colchoneros have shown they should never be underestimated in the Champions League and while Korkut may derive some improvement in Bayer, a draw would be more than good enough for the hosts..


EUROPE: Champions League

Atl. Madrid - Bayer Leverkusen

Pick: Over 2,5 Goals

ODD: 1,80
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Monaco vs Manchester City betting tips

Manchester City are fancied to ensure England is represented in the Champions League quarter-finals by progressing from their tie against Monaco, and can wrap it up with another victory.

Two teams who are by far at their best when attacking showed exactly why that is the case at the Etihad Stadium where it finished 5-3 to City, who fought back from 1-2 and 2-3 down with three goals in the last 20 minutes.

Radamel Falcao, whose renaissance this season has been remarkable after two barren years in English football, scored both of Monaco’s goals and would have had a hat-trick if he had struck a penalty better than into the arms of City goalkeeper Willy Caballero.

Sergio Aguero has resumed his mantle of being the blues’ main supplier of goals as young upstart Gabriel Jesus sits out injured and the Argentine bagged a double while Raheem Sterling, John Stones and Leroy Sane also found the net for City.


Sergio Aguero of Manchester City (centre) beats Fabinho (left) of Monaco during their UEFA Champions League round-of-16 first-leg match on February 21 2017 (Getty Images)
While Pep Guardiola’s side are clearly in the box seat in terms of qualification, the tie is far from over because Monaco score lots of goals at home in particular – their tally of 50 in their first 14 Ligue 1 games on their own pitch this term was nearly double that of Paris Saint-Germain!

Their defensive record in the Principality is also very respectable and so the 2-0 or 3-1 victory which Leonardo Jardim’s men require is certainly not beyond them.

But City also provide a considerable threat, of course, and going into their FA Cup quarter-final away to Middlesbrough on Saturday they were unbeaten in their last five away games and, more impressively, had kept a clean sheet in all of them.

With City having reached the semi-finals last season, Guardiola will certainly not want to take the club two steps back in his first campaign and while the quarter-final draw is sure to be very informative regarding prospects of advancing any further, we do expect City to be the solitary English club in it.

Monaco vs Manchester City stats

City have won only one of their last six European away matches
Both teams have scored in five of City’s latest six Champions League games
Before Saturday’s game at home to Bordeaux, eight of Monaco’s previous nine matches had contained over 2.5 goals


EUROPE: Champions League

20:45 Monaco - Manchester City

Pick: Over 3,5  Goals

ODD: 2,10
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