Free Football Picks 16.03.2017

16. Mar 2017 on UEFA . Europa League - Anderlecht vs APOEL FC.

This looks to be a tight game with few goals. Anderlecht has collected 13 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games. Last 10 HOME games of Anderlecht have shown us 7 wins and 1 losses. Their last HOME game was on 12. March against RS Waasland-Beveren and ended with home win (3-0). Looking at the last 20 games of APOEL FC we see 16 wins and 3 losses. Last 10 AWAY games of APOEL FC showed 7 wins and 2 losses, most recent was on 12. March against Anorthosis that ended with away win (0-1). From this data, we see both teams being equal and a possible draw here.

It is a game between Top ranking team Anderlecht and Top ranking team APOEL FC. Anderlecht's last 3 HOME games against Top ranking teams show 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses. APOEL FC's AWAY performance against Top ranking teams show 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from last 9 AWAY games. Anderlecht's attacking performace is 1.7 goals/game vs APOEL FC's 0.6. On the defensive side, we have Anderlecht with 0.3 and APOEL FC with 1.1 goals conceded per game. Taking all the Rank-based facts into consideration we see Anderlecht having a small advantage and probably wins this match.

Last 20 games of Anderlecht have seen 13 Overs and 7 Unders. Last 20 games of APOEL FC have seen 11 Overs and 9 Unders. Looking at the rank-based O/U 2.5 stats of Anderlecht it has been 1 Overs and 2 Unders in their last 3 HOME games against teams with similar ranking as APOEL FC. APOEL FC has seen 2 Overs and 7 Unders in their last 9 AWAY games against teams with ranking similar to Anderlecht. Anderlecht is averaging 2.7 goals at home while APOEL FC makes an average of 2 goals away. This makes an average of 4.7 goals per match between the teams. Anderlecht concedes 0.6 goals on average and APOEL FC 1.2 for a total of 1.8 goals conceded per match. Taking these into account, we expect to see 3.3 goals per match. History shows that 65% of games end Over 2.5 for Anderlecht and 55% for APOEL FC. Considering the numbers, it probably is an OVER 2.5 match.

From Anderlecht's last 20 games 10 have seen both teams scoring and 10 games only one team/no score. From APOEL FC's last 20 games 9 have seen both teams scoring and 11 games only one team/no score. Looking at the rank-based BTTS stats, Anderlecht had 0 BTTS YES and 3 NO's. For APOEL FC, we have seen 3 BTTS YES and 6 NO's. There is 85% chance of Anderlecht scoring today, 90% for APOEL FC. Probability of conceding a goal is 50% for Anderlecht and 55% for APOEL FC. Looking at the numbers, both teams can score or not, quite unclear.

APOEL Will not play
Astiz I.(Shoulder Injury)
Efrem G.(Injury)
Morais N.(Yellow Cards)
Oliveira V



EUROPE: Europa League

21:05 Anderlecht - APOEL

Pick: 1

ODD: 1.60
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KRC Genk vs. KAA Gent

Gent travel to Genk having returned to the winning ways with a 3-0 win over Mechelen, attempting a miraculous return to earn their spot in the Europa League quarter-finals after a 2-5 home loss in the first leg of the all-Belgian 8th finals clash. However, this will be a very difficult task against in-form De Smurfen and we’ll now stick our necks out for the home side to punch their ticket to the quarter-finals with a win at 27/20 with William Hill.

Genk come into the match in great shape after earning six wins, three draws and suffering just one loss in their last ten outings since early February. They have outclassed their rivals in the first leg scoring five goals at GHELAMCO-arena, and we expect to see them motivated for a similar performance in front of the home fans.

Furthermore, De Buffalo's have been rather unconvincing on the road and their win at Waasland-Beveren (2-3) was only their first since early December. They’ve suffered three losses and earned just four draws in the process, so we don’t feel they now have what it takes to take away anything from this fixture.  

They have scored a lot of goals recently, though, as we’ve seen them bag seven in their last four away games and we’ll go for a Yes on Both teams to score at 4/7 with Ladbrokes. The home win combined with a Yes on BTTS comes at an eye-catching 10/3 with the same bookie, which proves to be a great value considering both sides’ records.

KRC Genk vs. KAA Gent Stats
The last week’s 2-5 win was the second consecutive win over their rivals for Genk, as they’ve also earned a convincing 2-0 win back in December 2016. Gent have kept a better recent tally, though, earning four wins and two draws in six matches beforehand, but it doesn’t seem they can now bounce back and return to that streak as soon as Thursday.


EUROPE: Europa League

19:00 Genk - Gent

Pick: 1

ODD: 2.40
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