Free Football Picks 12.01.2017

This tie is as good as over it would seem, with Celta Vigo 4-1 winners in the 1st Leg at the Mestalla last week. Even a 3-0 win for Valencia here wouldn’t be enough to see them through and given the way they’ve been playing this season, any form of Valencia win looks a long shot here.

Following on from 5 goals in the 1st Leg, there is certainly the potential for several more here. Valencia haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their 19 games this season and with their two first-choice central defenders carrying injuries, they are even more vulnerable than normal and there was more evidence of that in their 3-3 draw at Osasuna on Monday in La Liga.

They are at least scoring goals themselves and almost all their recent games have been open, end-to-end affairs. Both teams have scored in all of Valencia’s last 12 matches in all competitions and in 89% of their games overall this season. All of their last 7 games have also seen over 2.5 goals scored in total so there is strong evidence to suggest that this will be a game that produces goals.

Celta Vigo have a slightly bigger squad this year with European football in mind and, therefore, have enough strength in depth that they can afford to rotate their team and still beat what is a poor Valencia side and one that may also see several changes with the tie all but over. The Galicians also tend to be involved in relatively high-scoring games. Both teams have scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches and they are yet to keep a home clean sheet this season in La Liga so that also points towards a goal for the visitors here.

However, Valencia are so poor at the back that there should be a few goals in this game again for Celta Vigo and backing Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score at 20/21 looks to offer value.

Celta won 4-1 at Valencia in the 1st Leg last week. Valencia did win 5-1 at Celta in La Liga last term but have lost all 3 meetings since.
CELTA VIGO VS VALENCIA STATS
Celta have only lost 1 of their last 13 home Copa del Rey matches. Both teams have scored in 17 of Valencia's 19 games this term in all competitions, including all the last 12.
CELTA VIGO TEAM NEWS

Celta Vigo are likely to rotate their team. They may opt to rest top scorer Iago Aspas and play John Guidetti up front. Their main summer signing Pione Sisto should get a chance to re-stake his claim on the wing.
VALENCIA TEAM NEWS

Valencia have named caretaker boss Voro as coach for the rest of the season. Even though the tie is as good as over, he'll be keen for a positive showing here but with his first-choice centre-backs injured, he may have to go with Mario Suárez and Eliaquim Mangala at the heart of the defence again. Nani may be recalled on the wing.

TIP: Over 2.5 Goals

ODD: 1,80
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Daily Double:

20:00 - READING vs Qpr  TIP: 'READING X1'  ODD:1,22

20:15 - Sevilla vs REAL MADRID  TIP: 'REAL MADRID X2'  ODD:1,48

TOTAL ODD: 1,80
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